Bolton3 - 2Leyton Orient
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Leyton Orient
Bolton won six straight competitive home games prior to last Saturday's defeat to Bristol Rovers, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways against Leyton Orient. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
55.42% ( -0.03) | 23.05% ( 0.01) | 21.52% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( -0.02) | 46.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( -0.02) | 68.35% ( 0.02) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( -0.02) | 16.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.83% ( -0.04) | 46.16% ( 0.04) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( 0.01) | 35.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.67% ( 0.01) | 72.33% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.52% |
