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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Bishop (45+3' pen.)
Saydee (69'), Scully (90+2'), Sparkes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Earl (63')
Johnson (0'), Dolan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-5 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 2-0 Fleetwood Town

 Portsmouth may have suffered a disappointing defeat in the EFL Trophy in midweek, but they have been in imperious form in the third tier. After winning each of their last four league games without conceding, we think that they will get the better of a struggling Fleetwood side in their final home fixture of the calendar year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
57.38% (-0.555 -0.56) 21.84% (0.242 0.24) 20.78% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (-0.671 -0.67)41.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (-0.681 -0.68)63.98% (0.685 0.69)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.393 -0.39)14.27% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-0.774 -0.77)42.06% (0.777 0.78)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)33.74% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)70.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 57.38%
    Fleetwood Town 20.78%
    Draw 21.83%
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.151 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.23% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.78%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Fleetwood

Portsmouth
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-2
Portsmouth
Bishop (43'), Pigott (83')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Portsmouth
1-1
Fleetwood
Koroma (7')
Mendes Gomes (15')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Marquis (16')
Whatmough (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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