Accrington1 - 3Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Bolton Wanderers
Bolton have conceded in just two of their previous 10 away matches, and we think that they will produce another strong defensive performance to lay the platform for a victorious outing against their fourth-tier opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
30.69% ( 0.39) | 24.96% ( -0) | 44.35% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.03% ( 0.19) | 46.97% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( 0.17) | 69.22% ( -0.16) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( 0.36) | 28.7% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.48% ( 0.44) | 64.52% ( -0.43) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( -0.09) | 21.21% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.9% ( -0.15) | 54.1% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.69% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.35% |
How you voted: Accrington vs Bolton
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
