FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton1 - 2Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Bolton
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League
We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Luton Town
Bolton showed that they can match Luton when the two teams locked horns earlier this month, and we are expecting another close game here. Bolton have enough quality to triumph, but we just have a feeling that Luton will be able to navigate their way into the fourth round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
59.45% ( 0) | 20.77% ( -0) | 19.79% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.92% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.97% ( -0) | 38.03% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.71% ( -0) | 60.29% ( 0) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.5% ( -0) | 12.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.5% | 38.5% ( -0) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% ( -0.01) | 32.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.79% ( -0.01) | 69.21% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers 59.45%
Luton Town 19.79%
Draw 20.77%
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.85% 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.56% 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.92% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 5.53% 0-0 @ 4.08% 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-1 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.79% |
How you voted: Bolton vs Luton
Bolton Wanderers
31.4%Draw
17.1%Luton Town
51.4%70
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
