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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 30, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Chelsea logo

Luton
2 - 3
Chelsea

Barkley (80'), Adebayo (87')
Brown (27'), Mengi (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Palmer (12', 70'), Madueke (37')
Disasi (87'), Gusto (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea survive a late Luton Town fightback to record a 3-2 win in their final outing of the calendar year.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-3 Luton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawChelsea
21.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 22.13% (0.0010000000000012 0) 56.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)33.05% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)69.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29%14.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 21.64%
    Chelsea 56.23%
    Draw 22.12%
Luton TownDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.38%
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 21.64%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 6.32%
0-3 @ 5.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.03%
0-4 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.68%
1-5 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 56.23%

How you voted: Luton vs Chelsea

Luton Town
32.1%
Draw
16.3%
Chelsea
51.6%
184
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Chelsea
3-0
Luton
Sterling (17', 68'), Jackson (75')
Fernandez (73'), Maatsen (90')

Lockyer (27'), Nakamba (30'), Brown (78')
Mar 2, 2022 7.15pm
Fifth Round
Luton
2-3
Chelsea
Burke (2'), Cornick (40')
Muskwe (67')
Niguez (27'), Werner (68'), Lukaku (78')
Jan 24, 2021 12pm
Fourth Round
Chelsea
3-1
Luton
Abraham (11', 17', 74')
Clark (30')
Clark (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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