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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Newcastle logo

Luton
1 - 0
Newcastle

Townsend (25')
Barkley (56'), Mengi (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guimaraes (90+8'), Hall (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town display a resilient performance to hold on to a crucial 1-0 win over Newcastle United at Kenilworth Road this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man City
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNewcastle United
29.53% (0.813 0.81) 24.18% (0.276 0.28) 46.28% (-1.093 -1.09)
Both teams to score 58.14% (-0.41 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.91% (-0.782 -0.78)44.09% (0.779 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-0.765 -0.77)66.47% (0.761 0.76)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.16 0.16)28.03% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (0.206 0.21)63.69% (-0.21 -0.21)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.755 -0.75)19.2% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (-1.258 -1.26)50.88% (1.253 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 29.53%
    Newcastle United 46.28%
    Draw 24.18%
Luton TownDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.137 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.259 0.26)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.53%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.28%

How you voted: Luton vs Newcastle

Luton Town
32.8%
Draw
12.7%
Newcastle United
54.5%
134
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Newcastle
3-1
Luton
Perez (30', 36'), Shelvey (39')
Dummett (59'), Shelvey (62'), Hayden (67')
Hylton (49')
Hylton (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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