Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.