Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.