Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.