Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG1 - 1Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Kylian Mbappe's injury-time penalty denies Newcastle United a famous win over Paris Saint-Germain, who rescue a 1-1 draw in Champions League Group F.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Chelsea
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Newcastle United |
54.99% ( 0.02) | 21.52% ( 0.01) | 23.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0.05) | 36.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.18% ( -0.06) | 58.82% ( 0.06) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( -0.01) | 13.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.03) | 40.28% ( 0.03) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.05) | 28.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.62% ( -0.06) | 64.38% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain 54.99%
Newcastle United 23.5%
Draw 21.52%
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.83% Total : 54.99% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 23.5% |
How you voted: PSG vs Newcastle
Paris Saint-Germain
72.4%Draw
14.7%Newcastle United
12.9%232
Head to Head
Form Guide
