Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.