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Fulham logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
Norwich logo

Fulham
2 - 1
Norwich

Vinicius (12'), Iwobi (72')
Muniz (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sainz (75')
McCallum (16'), Placheta (45'), Warner (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Fulham and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 3-1 Norwich City

Each team will probably make changes for this contest, throwing open the possibility of any result occurring at Craven Cottage. However, we can only back the home side, who have players in their squad who will want to impress in games such as this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawNorwich City
33.86% (0.101 0.1) 24.14% (0.113 0.11) 42% (-0.213 -0.21)
Both teams to score 60.33% (-0.375 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (-0.502 -0.5)42.1% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (-0.504 -0.5)64.5% (0.50600000000001 0.51)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.178 -0.18)24.36% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (-0.254 -0.25)58.77% (0.256 0.26)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)20.24% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.491 -0.49)52.57% (0.493 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 33.86%
    Norwich City 42%
    Draw 24.14%
FulhamDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42%

How you voted: Fulham vs Norwich

Fulham
72.9%
Draw
10.4%
Norwich City
16.7%
48
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Norwich
0-2
Fulham

Murphy (83'), Maddison (90'), Reed (90')
Johansen (66'), Cairney (70')
McDonald (58'), Fredericks (78'), Norwood (85'), Kamara (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Fulham
1-1
Norwich
Martin (24' og.)
Cairney (66'), Johansen (85'), Fredericks (88')
Oliveira (89')
Oliveira (89'), Maddison (94')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Norwich
1-3
Fulham
Jerome (76')
Hoolahan (28'), Howson (46'), Jerome (57'), Pinto (77')
Johansen (5'), Cairney (48' pen.), Ayite (89')
Malone (59'), Bettinelli (68'), Piazon (85')
Martin (45')
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Fulham
2-2
Norwich
Johansen (55'), Martin (66')
Aluko (39'), Malone (40'), Parker (41'), Johansen (87')
Dorrans (17' pen., 41')
Jerome (44'), Dorrans (87'), Martin (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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