Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 0-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.