Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa3 - 1Luton
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa move into fourth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Luton Town at Villa Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 1-4 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Luton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Luton Town |
55.11% ( 1.74) | 23.23% ( 0.23) | 21.66% ( -1.97) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -3.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
