Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Luton Town |
37.13% ( 0.04) | 27.91% ( -0.01) | 34.96% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.04% ( 0.04) | 57.96% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.35% ( 0.03) | 78.66% ( -0.03) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.98% ( 0.04) | 30.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% ( 0.05) | 66.14% ( -0.05) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.62% ( 0) | 31.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( 0) | 67.75% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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