EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
3 - 2
Gillingham

Brown (2'), Doughty (28'), Woodrow (66')
Berry (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Clarke (55'), Nichols (88')
Dieng (43')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Luton Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Luton
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Colchester
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 3-1 Gillingham

While their start to life in the top flight has been far from ideal, Luton will back themselves to get the better of lower league opposition here. We fully expect the hosts to cruise to a routine win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Gillingham
59.61% ( -0.02)	24.22% ( 0)	16.17% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 41.65% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.38% (

0.02)

57.62% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.61% (

0.01)

78.39% (

-0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

-0)

19.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13% (

-0)

50.86% (

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.54% (

0.03)

48.46% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.43% (

0.02)

83.56% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 59.61%

Gillingham 16.17%

Draw 24.22%

Luton Town	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 15.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 59.61%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 16.17%