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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
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Walsall
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Gillingham

Stockport
0 - 1
Gillingham

FT(HT: 0-0)
McKenzie (86')
Williams (3'), Coleman (45'), Ogie (58'), Nichols (75'), Clarke (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Preston
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Millwall
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stockport County 2-0 Gillingham

Although Gillingham have strengthened ahead of the new season, they should be no match for Stockport County, who should undoubtedly be competing for automatic promotion this season. We expect a fairly comfortable victory for the hosts in their first league game, as long as there is no hangover from their gutting defeat at Wembley last season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawGillingham
44.34% (-1.544 -1.54) 28.06% (-0.366 -0.37) 27.61% (1.911 1.91)
Both teams to score 45.14% (2.2 2.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (2.134 2.13)60.38% (-2.134 -2.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (1.587 1.59)80.52% (-1.586 -1.59)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (0.205 0.2)27.12% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (0.267 0.27)62.51% (-0.268 -0.27)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94% (2.854 2.85)38.05% (-2.853 -2.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (2.652 2.65)74.82% (-2.652 -2.65)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 44.33%
    Gillingham 27.61%
    Draw 28.05%
Stockport CountyDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.46% (-1.04 -1.04)
2-0 @ 8.79% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 44.33%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.32% (-0.85 -0.85)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.343 0.34)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.492 0.49)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.351 0.35)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.298 0.3)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.201 0.2)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Stockport vs Gillingham

Stockport County
54.5%
Draw
18.2%
Gillingham
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 8, 2011 3pm
Stockport
1-5
Gillingham
Weston (71'), McDonald (32', 56', 79'), Barcham (51')
Oct 9, 2010 3pm
Gillingham
2-1
Stockport
Payne (37'), McDonald (3')
Julian (90')
Pulis (81')
Swailes (1'), Pulis (45'), Griffin (60'), Turnbull (67')
Mar 13, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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