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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Leyton Orient |
30.28% ( 0.05) | 29.41% ( 0.03) | 40.31% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 42.88% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.17% ( -0.09) | 63.82% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.94% ( -0.06) | 83.06% ( 0.06) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.18% ( -0.01) | 37.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.4% ( -0.01) | 74.59% ( 0.01) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( -0.09) | 31.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% ( -0.11) | 67.36% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.4% | 0-1 @ 13.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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