

Gillingham1 - 0Accrington
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Gillingham 2-0 Accrington Stanley
Gillingham will be riding high after back-to-back victories against Stockport and Southampton, and combined with Accrington's poor away form last term, we are siding with a home win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
28.77% (![]() | 26.91% (![]() | 44.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.21% (![]() | 55.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.08% (![]() | 76.92% (![]() |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.37% (![]() | 34.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.65% (![]() | 71.35% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% (![]() | 25.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% (![]() | 59.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.19% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.77% | 1-1 @ 12.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 12% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.3% |