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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Gillingham
1 - 0
Accrington

Nadesan (29')
Jefferies (4'), Ogie (58'), Ehmer (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Andrews (26'), Bagueloc'rich (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 2-0 Accrington Stanley

Gillingham will be riding high after back-to-back victories against Stockport and Southampton, and combined with Accrington's poor away form last term, we are siding with a home win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
28.77% (0.152 0.15) 26.91% (-0.058 -0.06) 44.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21% (0.285 0.29)55.79% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.232 0.23)76.92% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.268 0.27)34.63% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.284 0.28)71.35% (-0.286 -0.29)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.079999999999998 0.08)25.04% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.111 0.11)59.71% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 28.77%
    Accrington Stanley 44.3%
    Draw 26.91%
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.75% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.3%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Accrington
1-2
Gillingham
Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')
Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
0-0
Accrington
Tucker (90+3')
Sykes (62'), Morgan (84')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Accrington
0-1
Gillingham

Sykes (45'), Nottingham (62')
Dempsey (45+1')
Jackson (80')
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Gillingham
0-2
Accrington

O'Connor (73')
Bishop (44'), Charles (64')
Butcher (90')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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