MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 04:13:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 2
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
1 - 2
Burnley

Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Jacob Bruun Larsen scores a late winner as Burnley beat Luton Town 2-1 in the Premier League this evening.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
35.67% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53) 26.87% (-0.096 -0.1) 37.46% (0.629 0.63)
Both teams to score 51.31% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (0.382 0.38)53.86% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.321 0.32)75.33% (-0.315 -0.31)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-0.134 -0.13)28.9% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.169 -0.17)64.78% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.554 0.55)27.83% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.701 0.7)63.43% (-0.697 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.67%
    Burnley 37.45%
    Draw 26.87%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.45%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
34.2%
Draw
31.7%
Burnley
34.2%
120
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Luton
0-1
Burnley
Barnes (78' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Oct 31, 2006 3pm
Luton
0-2
Burnley
Gray (31', 36')
Foster (22'), Elliott (51')
Foster (73')
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Lafferty (78')
Vine (42')
Brkovic (67'), Barnett (90')
rhs 2.0
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5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
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