Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.