Cambridge2 - 1Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One
We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town
With just a nine-point gap between the sides, this is a crucial game for both sides, and nerves may be on show. However, we cannot ignore that Cambridge's home advantage could prove key, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
46.01% ( 0.02) | 25.17% ( 0) | 28.82% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( -0.02) | 48.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( -0.02) | 70.9% ( 0.02) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( -0) | 21.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.86% ( 0) | 54.13% ( -0) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( -0.02) | 30.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.77% ( -0.03) | 67.23% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.82% |
