Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-3 Peterborough
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Fleetwood Town 0-2 Derby County
Derby's promotion bid may have received a setback on Monday, but we think that the Rams will return to winning ways against a Fleetwood side that have lost three of their last four home games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Derby County |
19.61% ( 0.01) | 22.54% ( 0.01) | 57.85% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
