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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
31.21% ( -0.73) | 26.75% ( 0.3) | 42.04% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.8% ( -1.43) | 54.2% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.39% ( -1.21) | 75.61% ( 1.21) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68% ( -1.23) | 32% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.54% ( -1.43) | 68.46% ( 1.43) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% ( -0.42) | 25.48% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% ( -0.58) | 60.31% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
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