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Wycombe Wanderers
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 31, 2024 at 7pm UK
Adams Park

Wycombe
4 - 1
Brighton U21s

Sadlier (40', 45+1'), Kavanagh (44' og.), Taylor (47')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Barrington (65')
Hinchy (31')
Mullins (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palace U21s 2-1 Brighton U21s
Friday, January 26 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

Having reached this stage of the competition, Brighton will have expectations of going all the way. However, despite their indifferent form, we feel that Wycombe's superior experience will win through, possibly overpowering Brighton's young guns in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 57.05%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
57.05% (-0.941 -0.94) 21.06% (0.235 0.23) 21.9% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 61.32% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.58% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)36.42% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.45% (-0.188 -0.19)58.55% (0.188 0.19)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)12.68% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)38.86% (0.677 0.68)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.527 0.53)29.78% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.633 0.63)65.86% (-0.63300000000001 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 57.05%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 21.9%
    Draw 21.06%
Wycombe WanderersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 57.05%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.06%
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.142 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Brighton U21s

Wycombe Wanderers
64.7%
Draw
5.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
29.4%
17
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