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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
22.11% ( -0) | 25.56% | 52.32% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.61% ( -0) | 55.39% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.41% | 76.59% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.74% ( -0) | 40.26% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.11% ( -0) | 76.88% ( 0) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% ( 0) | 21.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% ( 0) | 54.1% |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.11% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |