EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals

Jan 30, 2024 at 7pm UK

Bloomfield Road

Blackpool
0 - 0
Bolton

Connolly (27')

Santos (5'), Thomason (87')

Blackpool win 5-4 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Blackpool and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackpool 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While we expect Tuesday's fixture to be a close-fought contest, we think that Bolton will draw upon their success in November's meeting with Blackpool to claim a narrow victory and secure their place in the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
37.56% ( -0.08)	25.2% ( -0.04)	37.24% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 57.03% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

0.19)

46.59% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13% (

0.18)

68.86% (

-0.18)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

0.05)

24.39% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

0.06)

58.8% (

-0.06)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

0.16)

24.56% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

0.22)

59.05% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Blackpool 37.56%

Bolton Wanderers 37.24%

Draw 25.2%

Blackpool	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.56%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.24%