MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:08:51| >> :600:251510:251510:
Blackpool
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Bloomfield Road (Blackpool, Lancashire)
Burton Albion

Blackpool
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Virtue (4'), Ekpiteta (67')
Dale (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scott (71')
Brayford (69'), Sweeney (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Blackpool and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Blackpool
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Wycombe
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 2-1 Burton Albion

 Blackpool did not end 2023 as they would have hoped, but the Tangerines have since made a bright start to the New Year and will fancy their chances of success on Wednesday considering their strong run of form at Bloomfield Road. The visitors Burton, meanwhile, have only lost one of their last five games under caretaker boss Mills and know what it takes to grind out a positive result against Blackpool, but we believe that the hosts will get their revenge this time around to secure their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
BlackpoolDrawBurton Albion
63.34% (0.45800000000001 0.46) 20.39% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 16.27% (-0.415 -0.42)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.771 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.565 -0.56)42.26% (0.563 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.567 -0.57)64.67% (0.566 0.57)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)12.7% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.09% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)38.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (-0.851 -0.85)39.1% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (-0.811 -0.81)75.81% (0.80800000000001 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 63.33%
    Burton Albion 16.27%
    Draw 20.39%
BlackpoolDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.27% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 63.33%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.39%
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.27%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Burton Albion

Blackpool
67.9%
Draw
10.7%
Burton Albion
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Burton Albion
1-0
Blackpool
Kamwa (10')
Kamwa (21'), Oshilaja (28')

Norburn (57')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Blackpool
2-0
Burton Albion
Lavery (19', 25')
Beesley (14'), Norburn (32'), Connolly (66'), Dougall (89')

Brayford (6')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 27
Blackpool
1-1
Burton Albion
Garbutt (64')
Carter (24')
Carter (71')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burton Albion
1-2
Blackpool
Leo Gretarsson (63' og.)
Quinn (39'), Gilligan (77')
Yates (21', 75')
Maxwell (40')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 41
Blackpool
P-P
Burton Albion
rhs 2.0
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