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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Blackpool

Port Vale
3 - 0
Blackpool

Garrity (39'), Wilson (57'), Smith (80')
Devine (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morgan (18'), Connolly (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Port Vale and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Blackpool

While Blackpool have won just one of their last seven away league games, we think that their squad possesses the extra quality required to get the better of a team sitting in the bottom half of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBlackpool
29.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 45.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (0.084000000000003 0.08)50.2% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)72.16% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.041000000000004 0.04)67.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.051000000000002 0.05)22.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.076000000000001 0.08)55.49% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 29.12%
    Blackpool 45.33%
    Draw 25.54%
Port ValeDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.12%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.33%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Blackpool

Port Vale
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
Blackpool
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Blackpool
0-0
Port Vale
Carey (24')
Jones (88')
Jan 9, 2016 3pm
Nov 24, 2015 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-0
Blackpool
Birchall (86'), Leitch-Smith (82')
McGivern (58')

Robertson (26'), McAlister (51'), Osayi-Samuel (67')
Oct 6, 2015 7.45pm
Second Round
Port Vale
1-2
Blackpool
Grant (52' pen.)
Dickinson (90')
Rivers (44'), Robertson (56')
Paterson (23'), Higham (27'), Robertson (52'), Herron (74'), Osayi-Samuel (91')
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Port Vale
Fox (76'), Morrell (72')
Sodje (90' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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