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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Blackpool

Port Vale
3 - 0
Blackpool

Garrity (39'), Wilson (57'), Smith (80')
Devine (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morgan (18'), Connolly (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Port Vale and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Blackpool

While Blackpool have won just one of their last seven away league games, we think that their squad possesses the extra quality required to get the better of a team sitting in the bottom half of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBlackpool
29.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 45.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (0.084000000000003 0.08)50.2% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)72.16% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.041000000000004 0.04)67.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.051000000000002 0.05)22.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.076000000000001 0.08)55.49% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 29.12%
    Blackpool 45.33%
    Draw 25.54%
Port ValeDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.12%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.33%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Blackpool

Port Vale
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
Blackpool
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Blackpool
0-0
Port Vale
Carey (24')
Jones (88')
Jan 9, 2016 3pm
Nov 24, 2015 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-0
Blackpool
Birchall (86'), Leitch-Smith (82')
McGivern (58')

Robertson (26'), McAlister (51'), Osayi-Samuel (67')
Oct 6, 2015 7.45pm
Second Round
Port Vale
1-2
Blackpool
Grant (52' pen.)
Dickinson (90')
Rivers (44'), Robertson (56')
Paterson (23'), Higham (27'), Robertson (52'), Herron (74'), Osayi-Samuel (91')
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Port Vale
Fox (76'), Morrell (72')
Sodje (90' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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