We said: Blackpool 3-1 Forest Green Rovers
Despite suffering a defeat in midweek, Blackpool will be favourites to progress from this cup tie, and after winning five of their last seven competitive home games, we think that they will claim a relatively comfortable victory over Forest Green Rovers.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.