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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

We anticipate a close encounter between two sides full of quality on Saturday but give a slight edge to the hosts, who have more momentum on their side and their sights set on taking top spot in the coming weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
48.86% (-2.189 -2.19) 22.78% (0.354 0.35) 28.35% (1.826 1.83)
Both teams to score 62.3% (0.319 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (-0.266 -0.27)38.25% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-0.282 -0.28)60.53% (0.274 0.27)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)15.95% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-1.598 -1.6)45.23% (1.592 1.59)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (1.123 1.12)25.87% (-1.131 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (1.497 1.5)60.85% (-1.506 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 48.86%
    Barnsley 28.35%
    Draw 22.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.318 0.32)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.238 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.175 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.111 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.35%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Barnsley
11.1%
9
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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