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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
1 - 0
Stevenage

Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Exeter
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Stevenage
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Stevenage

Exeter will be feeling good about themselves at the moment due to their strong form, and they will be hosting a Stevenage side that are currently struggling to put wins on the board. This match could go either way, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
30.14% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 43.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.2% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)54.6% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)75.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.0020000000000095 0)32.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.56% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)25.11% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)59.81% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.14%
    Stevenage 43.1%
    Draw 26.75%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.14%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Stevenage
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
Exeter win 5-3 on penalties
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Stevenage
0-1
Exeter

Coker (55')
McArdle (28')
Sweeney (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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