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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Charlton Athletic

Exeter
1 - 1
Charlton

Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Although they are inching further away from danger, Exeter's home record remains relatively weak, so in-form Charlton can take three points and leapfrog their hosts in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
36.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 25.65% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 38.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.63% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)70.75% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.03% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)61.06% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)25.06% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)59.74% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.31%
    Charlton Athletic 38.04%
    Draw 25.65%
Exeter CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 38.04%

How you voted: Exeter vs Charlton

Exeter City
18.8%
Draw
15.6%
Charlton Athletic
65.6%
32
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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