League One | Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Derby
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
We said: Derby County 2-1 Charlton Athletic
Although Derby experienced a disappointing at the weekend, they have won seven of their last eight home games against Charlton, and we think that they will draw inspiration from that record to clinch a narrow victory in Tuesday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
63.84% ( 0.18) | 19.85% ( -0.05) | 16.31% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( 0.03) | 39.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.94% ( 0.03) | 62.06% ( -0.03) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( 0.06) | 11.79% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63% ( 0.12) | 37% ( -0.12) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( -0.12) | 37.48% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.73% ( -0.12) | 74.27% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 63.84%
Charlton Athletic 16.31%
Draw 19.85%
| Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 63.84% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.31% |
How you voted: Derby vs Charlton
Derby County
70.8%Draw
9.2%Charlton Athletic
20.0%65
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Charlton
0-1
Derby
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Charlton
3-0
Derby
