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League One
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League One | Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Derby
1 - 2
Charlton

Cashin (39')
Bradley (22'), Wildsmith (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
May (65' pen.), Anderson (80')
Gillesphey (82'), Aneke (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Derby County and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Derby
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Charlton Athletic

 Although Derby experienced a disappointing at the weekend, they have won seven of their last eight home games against Charlton, and we think that they will draw inspiration from that record to clinch a narrow victory in Tuesday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
63.84% (0.176 0.18) 19.85% (-0.055 -0.05) 16.31% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.71% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (0.033000000000001 0.03)62.06% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.21% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.79% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63% (0.122 0.12)37% (-0.117 -0.12)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.121 -0.12)37.48% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (-0.12 -0.12)74.27% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 63.84%
    Charlton Athletic 16.31%
    Draw 19.85%
Derby CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 63.84%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Derby vs Charlton

Derby County
70.8%
Draw
9.2%
Charlton Athletic
20.0%
65
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Charlton
0-1
Derby

Ramsay (70'), Kanu (82')
Mendez-Laing (31')
Adams (41'), Cashin (51'), Sibley (68'), Vickers (90+1'), Hourihane (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
2-0
Charlton
McGoldrick (9' pen.), Cashin (69')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Charlton
1-0
Derby
Taylor (62')
Sessegnon (73'), Morgan (76')

Mendez-Laing (51')
Dec 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Derby
2-1
Charlton
Knight (10', 77')
Holmes (87')
Bielik (17')
Taylor (83' pen.)
Sarr (39'), Gallagher (69'), Solly (80'), Pratley (81'), Dempsey (90')
> Match Report
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Charlton
3-0
Derby
Bonne (6'), Sarr (48'), Gallagher (67')
Forster-Caskey (65')

Waghorn (57'), Shinnie (64')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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