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Championship header 2

League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
2 - 1
Derby

Phillips (33', 66')
Earl (79'), Cosgrove (86'), Cole (90+1'), Roberts (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradley (18')
Nelson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Derby County

 With both sides boasting plenty of quality throughout their ranks, we anticipate a tight and cagey encounter at Oakwell on Saturday given the high stakes. We cannot quite pick a winner between two in-form teams and instead anticipate a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
35.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 38.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (0.086000000000006 0.09)50% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)71.98% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (0.048999999999992 0.05)27.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.068000000000005 0.07)62.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.36% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06)60.15% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 35.4%
    Derby County 38.65%
    Draw 25.94%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.65%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (35' pen., 63'), Forsyth (48')
Collins (17'), Forsyth (36')

Russell (65')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Barnsley
4-1
Derby
Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
McGoldrick (35')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
2-1
Barnsley
McCarthy (8' og.), Mendez-Laing (35')
Cashin (47')
Benson (64')
McCarthy (62')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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