League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading
1 - 0
Derby

Mukairu (54')
Mbengue (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Reading
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Derby
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Reading 1-3 Derby County

Having picked up 29 points from their 14 road trips in League One, Derby currently boasts the best away record in the third tier, and we think that they will get the better of Reading on Tuesday to extend their unbeaten away run to seven league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Derby County
21.91% ( 0)	23.13% ( 0)	54.95% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.12% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.08% (

45.92% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.77% (

68.23% (

-0)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88% (

0.01)

35.12% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.13% (

0.01)

71.87% (

-0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

16.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.62% (

46.38%

Score Analysis

Reading 21.91%

Derby County 54.95%

Draw 23.13%

Reading	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.99% Total : 21.91%	1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-2 @ 9.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.95% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 54.95%