League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Lincoln0 - 0Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 3-2 Burton Albion
Monday, January 15 at 8pm in League One
Monday, January 15 at 8pm in League One
We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Derby County
Derby have won each of their last five away trips, and we think that they will continue that run of form against a Lincoln side that has lost four of their previous five matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Derby County |
17.08% ( 0.04) | 22.59% ( 0.02) | 60.33% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( -0) | 50.24% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( -0) | 72.19% ( 0) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.12% ( 0.05) | 42.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.81% ( 0.04) | 79.19% ( -0.04) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( -0.02) | 16.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.04) | 45.77% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Lincoln City 17.08%
Derby County 60.32%
Draw 22.59%
| Lincoln City | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.08% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.32% |
How you voted: Lincoln vs Derby
Lincoln City
46.2%Draw
7.7%Derby County
46.2%13
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7pm
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
