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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Derby County |
17.08% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() | 60.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.75% (![]() | 50.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.8% (![]() | 72.19% (![]() |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.12% (![]() | 42.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.81% (![]() | 79.19% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% (![]() | 16.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.23% (![]() | 45.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 5.9% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.08% | 1-1 @ 10.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 12.65% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.5% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |