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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
41.89% ( -0.03) | 24.99% ( 0) | 33.11% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( -0.03) | 46.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.46% ( -0.02) | 68.53% ( 0.02) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( -0.03) | 22.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( -0.04) | 55.37% ( 0.04) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( 0) | 26.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.93% ( 0) | 62.06% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |