Leyton Orient4 - 3Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Northampton Town
Northampton have struggled in their last three outings and could not take advantage of an extra man against Bolton. Despite Leyton's defeat last time out, we think they are still the team to beat in this fixture and should edge it at the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Northampton Town |
54.63% ( 0.09) | 24.68% ( -0.04) | 20.69% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.74% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.45% ( 0.1) | 53.55% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% ( 0.08) | 75.06% ( -0.09) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( 0.07) | 19.54% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.56% ( 0.12) | 51.44% ( -0.12) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% ( 0.01) | 40.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.75% ( 0) | 77.25% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.69% |
