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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Leyton Orient

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Fox (51')
Fox (59'), Bowie (82'), Hylton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Archibald (64'), El Mizouni (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Leyton Orient

Northampton Town have not fared well in this fixture of late, but their recent home record should give them reason for optimism. We expect an open and end-to-end clash with both teams going for maximum points, albeit all to no avail, with honours even in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
39.33% (-0.127 -0.13) 27.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 32.83% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.92% (0.499 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.07% (0.593 0.59)57.93% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (0.464 0.46)78.63% (-0.46600000000001 -0.47)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.212 0.21)28.7% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.266 0.27)64.52% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.498 0.5)32.79% (-0.501 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.552 0.55)69.35% (-0.554 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.33%
    Leyton Orient 32.83%
    Draw 27.83%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 13.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.83%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
Draw
Leyton Orient
Northampton Town
43.8%
Draw
31.3%
Leyton Orient
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Northampton
Wright (85' pen.)
Cisse (45')
Dayton (89')
Watson (43')
Goode (35'), Anderson (59'), Cornell (76'), Martin (95')
Wharton (88')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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