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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Leyton Orient

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Fox (51')
Fox (59'), Bowie (82'), Hylton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Archibald (64'), El Mizouni (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Leyton Orient

Northampton Town have not fared well in this fixture of late, but their recent home record should give them reason for optimism. We expect an open and end-to-end clash with both teams going for maximum points, albeit all to no avail, with honours even in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
39.33% (-0.127 -0.13) 27.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 32.83% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.92% (0.499 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.07% (0.593 0.59)57.93% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (0.464 0.46)78.63% (-0.46600000000001 -0.47)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.212 0.21)28.7% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.266 0.27)64.52% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.498 0.5)32.79% (-0.501 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.552 0.55)69.35% (-0.554 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.33%
    Leyton Orient 32.83%
    Draw 27.83%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 13.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.83%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
43.8%
Draw
31.3%
Leyton Orient
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Northampton
Wright (85' pen.)
Cisse (45')
Dayton (89')
Watson (43')
Goode (35'), Anderson (59'), Cornell (76'), Martin (95')
Wharton (88')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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