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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Leyton Orient

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Fox (51')
Fox (59'), Bowie (82'), Hylton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Archibald (64'), El Mizouni (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Leyton Orient

Northampton Town have not fared well in this fixture of late, but their recent home record should give them reason for optimism. We expect an open and end-to-end clash with both teams going for maximum points, albeit all to no avail, with honours even in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
39.33% (-0.127 -0.13) 27.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 32.83% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.92% (0.499 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.07% (0.593 0.59)57.93% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (0.464 0.46)78.63% (-0.46600000000001 -0.47)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.212 0.21)28.7% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.266 0.27)64.52% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.498 0.5)32.79% (-0.501 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.552 0.55)69.35% (-0.554 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.33%
    Leyton Orient 32.83%
    Draw 27.83%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 13.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.83%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
43.8%
Draw
31.3%
Leyton Orient
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Northampton
Wright (85' pen.)
Cisse (45')
Dayton (89')
Watson (43')
Goode (35'), Anderson (59'), Cornell (76'), Martin (95')
Wharton (88')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
17Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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