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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
48.72% ( 0.02) | 27.18% ( -0) | 24.09% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.53% ( -0.01) | 59.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.17% ( -0) | 79.83% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( 0.01) | 24.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.99% ( 0.01) | 59.01% ( -0.01) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.35% ( -0.02) | 40.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.75% ( -0.02) | 77.24% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |