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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
62.4% ( -0.89) | 22.59% ( 0.4) | 15.01% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 43.59% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.62) | 53.62% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.52) | 75.12% ( 0.53) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.28% ( -0.51) | 16.72% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.38% ( -0.93) | 46.62% ( 0.94) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.34% ( 0.35) | 47.66% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% ( 0.25) | 82.98% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.67% Total : 62.39% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |