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Colchester United
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Colchester
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Sears (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Connolly (53'), Saunders (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Colchester United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Colchester United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

 Both sides come into this knockout tie after important home wins in their respective leagues at the weekend, so neither will be fearing their opposition and should be eyeing an enjoyable run in the competition. Colchester looked impressive in their win over Doncaster but an assignment against an in-form Bristol Rovers from the league above may prove too much for The U's on the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
42.73% (-0.163 -0.16) 24.86% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 32.41% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.182 -0.18)45.86% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (-0.173 -0.17)68.17% (0.17 0.17)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)21.49% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.235 -0.23)54.53% (0.233 0.23)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)27.04% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.4% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.73%
    Bristol Rovers 32.41%
    Draw 24.86%
Colchester UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Colchester vs Bristol Rovers

Colchester United
26.7%
Draw
24.4%
Bristol Rovers
48.9%
45
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Colchester
Anderson (49')
Evans (90+2')

Skuse (15'), Hannant (42'), Edwards (70')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Chilvers (88')
Sarpong-Wiredu (36'), Chambers (45+1'), Dobra (63'), Eastman (65')
Tchamadeu (90+1')
Pitman (59')
Harries (51'), Coutts (88')
Harries (87'), Clarke (90+1')
May 7, 2011 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Henderson (28', 30')

Anthony (40')
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Colchester

Senda (67')
Odejayi (22')
Heath (72'), Beevers (76')
Feb 27, 2010 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-2
Colchester
Lines (79'), Blizzard (16'), Kuffour (67')
Elliott (58')
O'Toole (21')
Wordsworth (6'), Batth (24'), Ifil (67'), Tierney (77')
rhs 2.0
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