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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.71%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
15.77% ( -0.92) | 21.56% ( -0.38) | 62.68% ( 1.31) |
Both teams to score 48.24% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.74% ( -0.01) | 48.26% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( -0) | 70.41% ( 0.01) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.62% ( -1.2) | 43.38% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.39% ( -1.02) | 79.61% ( 1.03) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.2% ( 0.42) | 14.81% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.91% ( 0.79) | 43.09% ( -0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.77% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.71% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.46% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 62.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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