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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
36.65% ( -0.62) | 28.05% ( 0.38) | 35.3% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.55% ( -1.42) | 58.45% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.96% ( -1.13) | 79.04% ( 1.13) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% ( -1.08) | 30.56% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( -1.3) | 66.79% ( 1.31) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% ( -0.56) | 31.41% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.22% ( -0.66) | 67.78% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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