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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
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Colchester United
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Swindon Town
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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Swindon Town

Northampton
1 - 2
Swindon

Hoskins (90')
Bowie (82'), Hoskins (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shade (26'), Lavinier (56')
Iandolo (45+2'), Shade (80'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Walsall
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Northampton Town and Swindon have enjoyed a solid first half of the season and will be looking to close out the year on a high. However, the Cobblers head into the midweek match as the more in-form side and we are backing them to maintain their impressive run by claiming a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
39.55% (-0.389 -0.39) 27.23% (0.101 0.1) 33.22% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (-0.334 -0.33)55.57% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (-0.271 -0.27)76.74% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.375 -0.38)27.45% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (-0.486 -0.49)62.94% (0.485 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.54%
    Swindon Town 33.22%
    Draw 27.23%
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: Northampton vs Swindon

Northampton Town
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Swindon Town
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Swindon
5-2
Northampton
McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')
Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')
Sep 18, 2021 2pm
Northampton
1-1
Swindon
Horsfall (83')
Rose (43'), Sowerby (44'), Hoskins (68'), McWilliams (84')
Simpson (57')
Conroy (52')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Northampton
Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')
Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Swindon
Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')
Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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