League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
1 - 2
Swindon

Hoskins (90')
Bowie (82'), Hoskins (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shade (26'), Lavinier (56')
Iandolo (45+2'), Shade (80'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Northampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Walsall
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Northampton Town and Swindon have enjoyed a solid first half of the season and will be looking to close out the year on a high. However, the Cobblers head into the midweek match as the more in-form side and we are backing them to maintain their impressive run by claiming a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Swindon Town
39.55% ( -0.39)	27.23% ( 0.1)	33.22% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.43% (

-0.33)

55.57% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.26% (

-0.27)

76.74% (

0.27)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55% (

-0.38)

27.45% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06% (

-0.49)

62.94% (

0.48)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

0.03)

31.32% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32% (

0.03)

67.68% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 39.54%

Swindon Town 33.22%

Draw 27.23%

Northampton Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.54%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.22%