Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
39.55% ( -0.39) | 27.23% ( 0.1) | 33.22% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% ( -0.33) | 55.57% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% ( -0.27) | 76.74% ( 0.27) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% ( -0.38) | 27.45% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% ( -0.49) | 62.94% ( 0.48) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.68% ( 0.03) | 31.32% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.32% ( 0.03) | 67.68% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |