League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
5 - 2
Northampton

McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Northampton Town

We expect a close contest with both sides in the promotion hunt, and that could lead to a cagey encounter that ends all square as the two teams settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Northampton Town
38.04%	27.68%	34.28%

Both teams to score 48.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.85%

57.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.98%

78.02%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92%

29.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35%

65%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58%

31.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21%

67.79%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 38.03%

Northampton Town 34.27%

Draw 27.68%

Swindon Town	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.03%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.27%