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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Stevenage |
45.4% | 26.13% | 28.47% |
Both teams to score 51.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% | 52.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% | 74.52% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% | 23.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.84% | 57.16% |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.65% | 33.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.03% | 69.96% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |