Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.