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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Leyton Orient |
33.93% ( 0.01) | 25.59% ( -0) | 40.47% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.31% ( 0) | 48.69% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( 0) | 70.8% ( -0) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 0) | 27.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( 0.01) | 62.95% ( -0.01) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( -0) | 23.81% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% ( -0) | 57.98% |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |