Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.