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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Port Vale |
29.84% ( -1.19) | 25.99% ( -0.14) | 44.16% ( 1.33) |
Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.3% ( 0.1) | 51.7% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.52% ( 0.09) | 73.48% ( -0.09) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.31% ( -0.79) | 31.69% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.89% ( -0.92) | 68.1% ( 0.92) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( 0.69) | 23.31% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( 1) | 57.25% ( -1) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.84% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 44.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |